San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-02-09 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

FLA: 55.3%

SJS: 44.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.53

SJS: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	34	33	1	97.1%	3.78	2	2.78
SJS	K. Kahkonen	42	38	4	90.5%	4.89	4	0.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • FLA at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	1	1.12
1	SJS	19	0	1.24
2	FLA	24	1	1.55
2	SJS	11	0	1.03
3	FLA	17	2	2.22
3	SJS	17	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0