Seattle Kraken at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-02-09 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 47.6%

SEA: 52.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.22

SEA: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

M. Blackwood

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	34	33	1	97.1%	2.49	0	1.49
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	24	3	88.9%	2.29	1	-0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs SEA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	SEA 4 - 2 NJD	SEA	NJD
2026-01-14	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-06	SEA 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-06	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2024-02-12	NJD 3 - 1 SEA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.55
1	SEA	14	0	0.79
2	NJD	17	0	0.79
2	SEA	19	0	0.92
3	NJD	10	1	0.94
3	SEA	11	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3