Seattle Kraken at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2023-02-10 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 6 - 3 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 58.9%
SEA: 41.1%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.65
SEA: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA
SEA
M. Jones
| Stat | NYR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | Igor Shesterkin | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 2.79 | 1 | -0.21 |
| SEA | M. Jones | 28 | 22 | 6 | 78.6% | 3.67 | 3 | -2.33 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs SEA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | NYR 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-01 | SEA 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | SEA |
| 2024-12-08 | NYR 5 - 7 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-11-17 | SEA 0 - 2 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-16 | NYR 5 - 2 SEA | NYR | NYR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 20 | 2 | 1.93 |
| 1 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.96 |
| 2 | NYR | 12 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 2 | SEA | 16 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 3 | NYR | 10 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 3 | SEA | 14 | 1 | 1.09 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 6 - 3 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0
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