Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-02-11 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

DET: 53.3%

VAN: 46.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.08

VAN: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	34	32	2	94.1%	3.15	2	1.15
VAN	S. Martin	25	20	5	80.0%	1.85	0	-3.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs VAN: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	0	0.95
1	VAN	10	0	0.53
2	DET	10	0	0.44
2	VAN	16	0	0.47
3	DET	7	0	0.46
3	VAN	21	2	2.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9