New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-02-11 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 75.0%

NYR: 25.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.71

NYR: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	19	13	6	68.4%	2.62	1	-3.38
NYR	J. Halak	29	27	2	93.1%	2.91	4	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	1	1.01
1	NYR	17	1	1.30
2	CAR	21	3	1.55
2	NYR	6	0	0.38
3	CAR	9	0	0.36
3	NYR	9	0	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5