Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-02-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

WPG: 69.9%

CHI: 30.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 4.27

CHI: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	31	1	96.9%	2.98	0	1.98
CHI	Petr Mrazek	28	24	4	85.7%	5.19	4	1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	10	0	0.62
1	CHI	14	0	0.97
2	WPG	18	0	1.73
2	CHI	18	0	1.29
3	WPG	13	4	2.83
3	CHI	14	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.3 - 2.6