Arizona Coyotes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-02-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 55.6%

ARI: 44.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.10

ARI: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 57%

NSH

K. Lankinen

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	K. Lankinen	19	15	4	78.9%	3.30	2	-0.70
ARI	K. Vejmelka	31	29	2	93.5%	3.86	2	1.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-28	ARI 8 - 4 NSH	ARI	NSH
2024-02-10	NSH 5 - 4 ARI	NSH	NSH
2024-01-20	ARI 3 - 2 NSH	ARI	NSH
2023-11-11	NSH 5 - 7 ARI	ARI	NSH
2023-03-09	ARI 4 - 1 NSH	ARI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	2	0.98
1	ARI	11	0	0.48
2	NSH	17	0	1.60
2	ARI	5	0	0.41
3	NSH	15	0	1.27
3	ARI	13	2	2.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0