Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2023-02-13 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 1 - 6 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 47.3%
DET: 52.7%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.63
DET: 3.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
C. Delia
DET
Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA
| Stat | VAN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.892 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | C. Delia | 23 | 17 | 6 | 73.9% | 2.32 | 2 | -3.68 |
| DET | Ville Husso | 30 | 29 | 1 | 96.7% | 3.37 | 3 | 2.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs DET: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | DET 5 - 1 VAN | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-08 | VAN 0 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-02 | VAN 2 - 3 DET | DET | VAN |
| 2024-12-01 | DET 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-02-15 | VAN 4 - 1 DET | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 11 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | DET | 11 | 1 | 0.83 |
| 2 | VAN | 20 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 2 | DET | 9 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 3 | VAN | 15 | 2 | 1.32 |
| 3 | DET | 10 | 1 | 0.79 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 1 - 6 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.6 - 3.6
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.