New Jersey Devils at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-02-14 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CBJ: 47.3%

NJD: 52.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.01

NJD: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	32	29	3	90.6%	3.12	2	0.12
NJD	V. Vanecek	33	31	2	93.9%	2.42	1	0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs NJD: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	NJD 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-12-31	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-12-01	NJD 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-10-13	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-03-17	CBJ 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	16	0	0.97
1	NJD	11	0	0.47
2	CBJ	9	0	0.52
2	NJD	21	0	1.12
3	CBJ	18	1	0.93
3	NJD	20	2	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4