Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-02-14 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

STL: 58.5%

FLA: 41.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.05

FLA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	36	34	2	94.4%	3.14	0	1.14
FLA	Spencer Knight	28	22	6	78.6%	3.91	4	-2.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	STL
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	FLA
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	1	1.01
1	FLA	13	0	0.86
2	STL	16	0	0.74
2	FLA	13	0	0.83
3	STL	16	3	2.16
3	FLA	23	0	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2