Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-02-16 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CAR: 70.3%

MTL: 29.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.03

MTL: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

A. Raanta

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	22	20	2	90.9%	2.47	1	0.47
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	41	35	6	85.4%	4.22	1	-1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs MTL: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	25	0	1.32
1	MTL	9	0	0.78
2	CAR	16	1	1.00
2	MTL	11	0	0.77
3	CAR	21	0	1.91
3	MTL	10	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 4.0 - 2.5