Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-02-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 0 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 56.7%

BOS: 43.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.36

BOS: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	25	5	83.3%	3.52	1	-1.48
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	28	28	0	100.0%	2.58	1	2.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	NSH 6 - 3 BOS	NSH	NSH
2026-01-27	BOS 3 - 2 NSH	BOS	NSH
2025-03-04	BOS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH
2024-10-22	NSH 4 - 0 BOS	NSH	NSH
2024-04-02	NSH 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.59
1	BOS	22	1	1.86
2	NSH	14	0	1.04
2	BOS	10	0	0.86
3	NSH	17	1	0.95
3	BOS	11	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 0 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7