Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-02-18 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 7 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 45.9%

FLA: 54.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.13

FLA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

NSH

K. Lankinen

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	K. Lankinen	33	30	3	90.9%	3.47	1	0.47
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	26	19	7	73.1%	4.05	2	-2.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	FLA 1 - 2 NSH	NSH	FLA
2025-11-24	NSH 3 - 8 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-02-25	NSH 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-07	FLA 6 - 2 NSH	FLA	FLA
2024-03-21	FLA 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.87
1	FLA	12	0	0.72
2	NSH	15	0	0.89
2	FLA	17	1	1.57
3	NSH	14	2	2.28
3	FLA	18	0	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 7 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0