New York Islanders at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2023-02-18 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 60.0%
NYI: 40.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.56
NYI: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
L. Ullmark
NYI
Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA
| Stat | BOS | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.000 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 0.00 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 2.29 | 0 | 0.29 |
| NYI | Semyon Varlamov | 27 | 21 | 6 | 77.8% | 2.84 | 0 | -3.16 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs NYI: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYI 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-11-04 | NYI 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-10-28 | BOS 5 - 2 NYI | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-02-27 | BOS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-05 | BOS 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 15 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 1 | NYI | 7 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 2 | BOS | 10 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | NYI | 19 | 0 | 1.21 |
| 3 | BOS | 17 | 0 | 1.05 |
| 3 | NYI | 15 | 0 | 0.70 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9
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