Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-02-18 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 38.4%

PHI: 61.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.05

PHI: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Arturs Silovs	37	35	2	94.6%	2.63	1	0.63
PHI	C. Hart	23	17	6	73.9%	3.05	3	-2.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • VAN at home vs PHI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-30	VAN 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-22	PHI 5 - 2 VAN	PHI	PHI
2024-10-19	PHI 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-10-11	VAN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-28	VAN 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	1	1.05
1	PHI	15	0	0.56
2	VAN	8	0	0.78
2	PHI	16	1	1.12
3	VAN	8	2	1.22
3	PHI	23	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5