Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-02-19 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

MIN: 68.3%

NSH: 31.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.38

NSH: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	26	23	3	88.5%	2.01	1	-0.99
NSH	Juuse Saros	35	31	4	88.6%	3.92	3	-0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-18	NSH 6 - 2 MIN	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	1	0.83
1	NSH	13	0	0.55
2	MIN	18	1	1.99
2	NSH	13	0	0.71
3	MIN	11	1	1.10
3	NSH	12	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9