Columbus Blue Jackets at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-02-19 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 59.9%

CBJ: 40.1%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.34

CBJ: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Ingram	36	34	2	94.4%	3.59	1	1.59
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	25	22	3	88.0%	1.96	0	-1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-26	ARI 6 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2023-11-16	CBJ 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-19	ARI 3 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2022-10-25	CBJ 3 - 6 ARI	ARI	CBJ
2021-11-18	ARI 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	15	0	0.78
1	CBJ	12	0	0.45
2	ARI	7	0	0.40
2	CBJ	22	0	1.28
3	ARI	12	0	0.55
3	CBJ	24	1	1.74
4	ARI	2	0	0.23
4	CBJ	2	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0