Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-02-20 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 0 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 43.8%

SEA: 56.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.88

SEA: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 51%

SJS

J. Reimer

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	26	26	0	100.0%	2.33	0	2.33
SEA	M. Jones	24	20	4	83.3%	3.35	2	-0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.38
1	SEA	10	0	0.50
2	SJS	16	2	2.23
2	SEA	12	0	0.83
3	SJS	12	0	0.74
3	SEA	18	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2