Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-02-21 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 49.6%

LAK: 50.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.06

LAK: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	34	33	1	97.1%	2.80	1	1.80
LAK	Pheonix Copley	20	18	2	90.0%	1.62	1	-0.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs LAK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	MIN
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	1	0.75
1	LAK	12	0	0.77
2	MIN	7	0	0.34
2	LAK	22	1	1.22
3	MIN	8	0	0.53
3	LAK	17	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0