Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2023-02-21 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 50.4%
VAN: 49.6%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.27
VAN: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
VAN
C. Delia
| Stat | NSH | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 41 | 37 | 4 | 90.2% | 4.66 | 2 | 0.66 |
| VAN | C. Delia | 29 | 24 | 5 | 82.8% | 4.73 | 4 | -0.27 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • NSH at home vs VAN: 3-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | VAN 4 - 3 NSH | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-11-03 | NSH 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-10-23 | NSH 2 - 1 VAN | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-01-03 | VAN 0 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 14 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 1 | VAN | 16 | 1 | 1.46 |
| 2 | NSH | 8 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | VAN | 13 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 3 | NSH | 12 | 3 | 1.73 |
| 3 | VAN | 18 | 0 | 1.37 |
| 4 | NSH | 6 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 4 | VAN | 3 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 5 | NSH | 3 | 1 | 0.83 |
| 5 | VAN | 2 | 0 | 0.14 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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