Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-02-23 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 2 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 63.9%

MIN: 36.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.26

MIN: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	25	23	2	92.0%	3.29	3	1.29
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	30	30	0	100.0%	2.65	1	2.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	CBJ 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-11	MIN 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-19	CBJ 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2024-10-10	MIN 3 - 2 CBJ	MIN	MIN
2024-01-06	CBJ 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	21	1	1.27
1	MIN	17	2	1.58
2	CBJ	10	0	0.67
2	MIN	16	0	0.67
3	CBJ	14	0	0.71
3	MIN	11	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9