Boston Bruins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2023-02-23 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 5 - 6 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 49.7%
BOS: 50.3%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.23
BOS: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | SEA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 33 | 27 | 6 | 81.8% | 3.80 | 1 | -2.20 |
| BOS | Jeremy Swayman | 41 | 36 | 5 | 87.8% | 3.03 | 0 | -1.97 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs BOS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | BOS 4 - 2 SEA | BOS | BOS |
| 2026-01-06 | SEA 7 - 4 BOS | SEA | BOS |
| 2024-12-12 | SEA 5 - 1 BOS | SEA | BOS |
| 2024-11-03 | BOS 2 - 0 SEA | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-26 | SEA 4 - 3 BOS | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 22 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 1 | BOS | 15 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 2 | SEA | 12 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | BOS | 21 | 0 | 1.38 |
| 3 | SEA | 21 | 0 | 1.20 |
| 3 | BOS | 15 | 1 | 1.33 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 5 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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