Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-02-23 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 6 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 55.7%

NSH: 44.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.16

NSH: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

SJS

J. Reimer

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	31	25	6	80.6%	2.82	2	-3.18
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	22	2	91.7%	2.66	0	0.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	NSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	SJS
2026-04-04	SJS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	SJS
2026-03-24	NSH 6 - 3 SJS	NSH	NSH
2025-03-11	SJS 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-23	SJS 5 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.44
1	NSH	13	0	0.79
2	SJS	17	0	0.94
2	NSH	14	1	1.12
3	SJS	16	0	1.28
3	NSH	12	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 6 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8