Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-02-24 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 61.3%

LAK: 38.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.29

LAK: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	26	3	89.7%	2.33	2	-0.67
LAK	J. Quick	18	16	2	88.9%	1.38	1	-0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	7	1	0.61
1	LAK	16	0	0.54
2	NYI	13	0	0.35
2	LAK	14	2	1.59
3	NYI	11	0	0.41
3	LAK	5	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9