Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-02-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WPG: 49.0%

COL: 51.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.43

COL: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	36	31	5	86.1%	3.27	1	-1.73
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	27	26	1	96.3%	2.63	1	1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	9	0	0.55
1	COL	13	0	0.83
2	WPG	20	1	1.52
2	COL	17	0	1.26
3	WPG	13	0	0.56
3	COL	15	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.4 - 3.4