Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-02-25 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 41.5%

EDM: 58.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.59

EDM: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	47	42	5	89.4%	3.65	2	-1.35
EDM	Jack Campbell	26	20	6	76.9%	3.07	3	-2.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs EDM: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	EDM
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	1	1.17
1	EDM	11	0	0.35
2	CBJ	13	1	0.89
2	EDM	21	0	1.19
3	CBJ	12	1	1.00
3	EDM	31	2	2.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.1