Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-02-25 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (74% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 73.7%

ANA: 26.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.11

ANA: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	16	13	3	81.2%	1.69	0	-1.31
ANA	John Gibson	53	51	2	96.2%	4.85	1	2.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CAR at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	CAR 5 - 2 ANA	CAR	CAR
2025-10-16	ANA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-23	ANA 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-01-12	CAR 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CAR
2024-01-11	CAR 6 - 3 ANA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.17
1	ANA	11	0	0.51
2	CAR	26	1	1.75
2	ANA	7	0	0.47
3	CAR	25	0	1.93
3	ANA	7	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 73.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.7