Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-02-25 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 7 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NJD: 71.6%

PHI: 28.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.42

PHI: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

A. Schmid

PHI

Samuel Ersson - 6-5-4 | 0.868 SV% | 3.09 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Schmid	23	23	0	100.0%	1.93	1	1.93
PHI	Samuel Ersson	36	29	7	80.6%	5.04	7	-1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs PHI: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	0.94
1	PHI	16	0	0.79
2	NJD	20	4	2.29
2	PHI	11	0	0.58
3	NJD	18	2	1.81
3	PHI	13	1	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 7 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8