Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-02-26 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 68.0%

CBJ: 32.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.15

CBJ: 2.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	24	22	2	91.7%	2.03	2	0.03
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	44	41	3	93.2%	4.21	3	1.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	CBJ 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-11	MIN 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-19	CBJ 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2024-10-10	MIN 3 - 2 CBJ	MIN	MIN
2024-01-06	CBJ 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	1	1.22
1	CBJ	10	1	0.71
2	MIN	18	1	1.20
2	CBJ	16	1	1.09
3	MIN	25	1	1.60
3	CBJ	5	0	0.22
4	MIN	1	0	0.18
4	CBJ	2	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 2.4