Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-02-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

STL: 45.4%

SEA: 54.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.83

SEA: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	21	5	80.8%	2.70	2	-2.30
SEA	M. Jones	25	22	3	88.0%	2.33	0	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs SEA: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	0.82
1	SEA	11	0	0.58
2	STL	17	0	1.08
2	SEA	11	0	0.64
3	STL	7	0	0.43
3	SEA	15	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4