Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-02-28 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

ARI: 63.4%

CHI: 36.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.08

CHI: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 59%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	24	23	1	95.8%	1.77	0	0.77
CHI	A. Stalock	33	29	4	87.9%	3.06	2	-0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • ARI at home vs CHI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	14	0	0.89
1	CHI	11	0	0.39
2	ARI	14	2	1.57
2	CHI	14	0	0.65
3	ARI	8	0	0.60
3	CHI	13	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2