Seattle Kraken at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-03-03 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.7%

SEA: 50.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.93

SEA: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	35	31	4	88.6%	4.88	1	0.88
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	21	2	91.3%	3.29	2	1.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	1.28
1	SEA	18	0	1.28
2	CBJ	9	0	0.51
2	SEA	17	0	1.11
3	CBJ	18	2	1.50
3	SEA	20	1	2.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2