Carolina Hurricanes at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-03-03 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

ARI: 40.2%

CAR: 59.8%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.08

CAR: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	42	36	6	85.7%	3.94	2	-2.06
CAR	A. Raanta	18	17	1	94.4%	1.87	0	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ARI at home vs CAR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-16	ARI 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-01-27	CAR 3 - 1 ARI	CAR	CAR
2023-03-03	ARI 1 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2022-11-23	CAR 0 - 4 ARI	ARI	CAR
2022-04-18	ARI 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	12	0	0.85
1	CAR	11	0	0.61
2	ARI	9	0	0.73
2	CAR	25	1	1.68
3	ARI	6	0	0.29
3	CAR	27	1	1.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2