Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-03-04 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

CHI: 42.8%

NSH: 57.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.92

NSH: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 53%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	25	22	3	88.0%	4.21	4	1.21
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	27	1	96.4%	2.16	1	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs NSH: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CHI 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	CHI
2026-02-26	NSH 4 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH
2026-01-10	NSH 0 - 3 CHI	CHI	NSH
2025-11-28	CHI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-03-08	NSH 3 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	17	1	1.07
1	NSH	12	3	1.70
2	CHI	11	0	0.41
2	NSH	12	0	0.92
3	CHI	11	0	0.67
3	NSH	12	1	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2