San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-03-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 47.8%

SJS: 52.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.14

SJS: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

WPG

D. Rittich

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	D. Rittich	24	21	3	87.5%	2.69	2	-0.31
SJS	J. Reimer	38	36	2	94.7%	4.20	3	2.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs SJS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	1	1.35
1	SJS	17	1	1.04
2	WPG	20	0	1.29
2	SJS	11	1	0.60
3	WPG	13	2	1.42
3	SJS	13	0	0.72
4	WPG	2	0	0.13
4	SJS	2	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5