Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2023-03-06 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Nashville Predators (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 51.7%
NSH: 48.3%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.11
NSH: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | VAN | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | Arturs Silovs | 34 | 31 | 3 | 91.2% | 2.59 | 0 | -0.41 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 32 | 28 | 4 | 87.5% | 3.87 | 1 | -0.13 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • VAN at home vs NSH: 4-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | VAN 4 - 3 NSH | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-11-03 | NSH 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-10-23 | NSH 2 - 1 VAN | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-01-03 | VAN 0 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 9 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 1 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 2 | VAN | 11 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 2 | NSH | 18 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 3 | VAN | 13 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 3 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 4 | VAN | 6 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 4 | NSH | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 5 | VAN | 3 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 5 | NSH | 3 | 0 | 0.19 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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