Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-06 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

LAK: 50.7%

WSH: 49.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.07

WSH: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	22	20	2	90.9%	2.50	1	0.50
WSH	D. Kuemper	41	37	4	90.2%	5.08	1	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • LAK at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	24	0	2.18
1	WSH	4	0	0.13
2	LAK	17	0	1.12
2	WSH	14	1	1.09
3	LAK	14	1	1.78
3	WSH	15	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1