Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-03-08 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

DET: 60.6%

CHI: 39.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.30

CHI: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	20	17	3	85.0%	1.94	3	-1.06
CHI	A. Stalock	41	37	4	90.2%	4.20	3	0.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	CHI
2024-02-25	CHI 2 - 3 DET	DET	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	3	2.25
1	CHI	13	3	1.44
2	DET	24	0	1.30
2	CHI	5	0	0.16
3	DET	12	0	0.65
3	CHI	7	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0