Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-03-08 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 66.4%

MIN: 33.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.22

MIN: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	23	19	4	82.6%	2.97	1	-1.03
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	48	46	2	95.8%	4.04	3	2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • WPG at home vs MIN: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	1	1.11
1	MIN	8	0	0.39
2	WPG	24	1	1.98
2	MIN	14	0	0.76
3	WPG	18	1	0.95
3	MIN	11	1	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7