Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-03-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

Win Probability

VAN: 70.1%

ANA: 29.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.50

ANA: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	22	20	2	90.9%	1.42	0	-0.58
ANA	Lukas Dostal	34	31	3	91.2%	3.14	1	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • VAN at home vs ANA: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	1	1.23
1	ANA	11	0	0.78
2	VAN	17	0	0.85
2	ANA	13	0	0.58
3	VAN	18	0	1.01
3	ANA	8	0	0.06
4	VAN	1	0	0.04
4	ANA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5