Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-03-12 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NJD: 56.2%

CAR: 43.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.17

CAR: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 58%

NJD

V. Vanecek

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	32	32	0	100.0%	2.97	1	2.97
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	23	20	3	87.0%	3.98	4	0.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.96
1	CAR	17	0	1.18
2	NJD	16	4	2.45
2	CAR	22	1	1.10
3	NJD	8	0	0.58
3	CAR	15	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0