Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-03-12 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 54.3%

NSH: 45.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.18

NSH: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 56%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	36	31	5	86.1%	2.93	0	-2.07
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	33	4	89.2%	3.46	1	-0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs NSH: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	NSH 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-04-07	ANA 0 - 5 NSH	NSH	ANA
2025-10-21	NSH 2 - 5 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-20	NSH 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-14	ANA 2 - 1 NSH	ANA	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.61
1	NSH	15	0	0.79
2	ANA	17	0	0.97
2	NSH	20	0	1.11
3	ANA	18	1	1.65
3	NSH	10	0	0.67
4	ANA	2	0	0.23
4	NSH	2	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2