Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-03-14 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CAR: 66.8%

WPG: 33.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.56

WPG: 2.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 50%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	24	21	3	87.5%	2.02	1	-0.98
WPG	D. Rittich	25	20	5	80.0%	2.32	1	-2.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs WPG: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.53
1	WPG	8	0	0.71
2	CAR	13	0	0.60
2	WPG	13	1	0.88
3	CAR	11	1	1.20
3	WPG	8	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4