Columbus Blue Jackets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-03-14 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 73.3%

CBJ: 26.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.97

CBJ: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	48	42	6	87.5%	4.27	1	-1.73
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	32	27	5	84.4%	3.02	0	-1.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CBJ 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	CBJ
2026-01-06	SJS 5 - 2 CBJ	SJS	SJS
2025-01-16	CBJ 4 - 1 SJS	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-05	SJS 2 - 1 CBJ	SJS	CBJ
2024-03-16	CBJ 4 - 2 SJS	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.53
1	CBJ	26	0	1.29
2	SJS	14	0	0.98
2	CBJ	17	0	1.40
3	SJS	20	0	1.30
3	CBJ	14	1	1.17
4	SJS	3	0	0.20
4	CBJ	5	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 73.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.0 - 3.0