New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-14 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

LAK: 53.6%

NYI: 46.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.96

NYI: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 53%

LAK

J. Korpisalo

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Korpisalo	28	26	2	92.9%	2.71	1	0.71
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	37	32	5	86.5%	4.97	3	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs NYI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	21	2	1.83
1	NYI	16	1	1.02
2	LAK	21	0	1.53
2	NYI	9	0	0.77
3	LAK	14	1	1.61
3	NYI	12	0	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2