Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-03-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 57.4%

CHI: 42.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.08

CHI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 52%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	21	19	2	90.5%	3.99	4	1.99
CHI	A. Stalock	36	35	1	97.2%	3.03	0	2.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • NSH at home vs CHI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CHI 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	CHI
2026-02-26	NSH 4 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH
2026-01-10	NSH 0 - 3 CHI	CHI	NSH
2025-11-28	CHI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-03-08	NSH 3 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	0.92
1	CHI	10	1	0.87
2	NSH	14	0	1.05
2	CHI	14	1	1.17
3	NSH	22	0	1.07
3	CHI	12	2	1.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9