Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-03-18 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

MIN: 49.2%

BOS: 50.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.94

BOS: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 54%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	38	33	5	86.8%	3.56	1	-1.44
BOS	L. Ullmark	31	29	2	93.5%	3.49	1	1.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs BOS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	MIN
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	0	1.20
1	BOS	20	0	1.11
2	MIN	16	1	1.34
2	BOS	19	0	1.21
3	MIN	14	0	0.96
3	BOS	11	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1