Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-03-18 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

NSH: 43.6%

WPG: 56.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.84

WPG: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	34	31	3	91.2%	3.02	1	0.02
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	20	18	2	90.0%	1.17	0	-0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs WPG: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	8	0	0.28
1	WPG	20	0	0.86
2	NSH	10	0	0.43
2	WPG	15	0	0.50
3	NSH	9	0	0.40
3	WPG	14	0	1.03
4	NSH	1	0	0.06
4	WPG	1	1	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3