Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-03-18 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SEA: 49.7%

EDM: 50.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.22

EDM: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	17	6	73.9%	2.65	0	-3.35
EDM	Stuart Skinner	37	33	4	89.2%	3.18	1	-0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SEA at home vs EDM: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	1.16
1	EDM	12	0	0.73
2	SEA	18	0	1.11
2	EDM	11	0	1.04
3	SEA	16	1	0.90
3	EDM	11	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3