New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-03-18 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

FLA: 54.1%

NJD: 45.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.28

NJD: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 57%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NJD

A. Schmid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	35	33	2	94.3%	2.44	1	0.44
NJD	A. Schmid	41	37	4	90.2%	4.47	2	0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • FLA at home vs NJD: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	1	1.52
1	NJD	15	0	0.58
2	FLA	17	0	1.36
2	NJD	13	0	0.72
3	FLA	13	1	1.59
3	NJD	17	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1